Illicit Networks and National Security

New book of interest from the Center for Complex Operations at National Defense University, Convergence: Illicit Networks and National Security in the Age of Globalization.

Free download of full volume in PDF, at:
http://www.ndu.edu/press/convergence.html

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Media and the Boston terror attack

Living here in the Boston area, the past week has been an almost sleepless blur. Here are some news stories for which I was interviewed:

CNBC interview #3 about Boston
» Continue reading “Media and the Boston terror attack”

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New U.S. Intelligence Primer

A new “Overview of U.S. National Intelligence” has been released by the ODNI, and is available online at: http://www.dni.gov/files/documents/USNI 2013 Overview_web.pdf

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Inspire Magazine’s 10th Issue

Assessing Inspire Magazine’s 10th Edition

By Scott Stewart  [ VP of Analysis at STRATFOR ]

Republished with permission of Stratfor.

Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula released the 10th edition of its English-language magazine, Inspire, on March 1. After discussing its contents with our analytical team, initially I decided not to write about it. I concluded that Inspire 10 conformed closely to the previous nine editions and that our analysis of the magazine, from its inception to its re-emergence after the death of editor Samir Khan, was more than adequate.

Since making that decision, however, I have been very surprised at how the media and other analysts have received the magazine. Some have overhyped the magazine even as others have downplayed — even ridiculed — its content. I have heard others say the magazine revealed nothing about al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula. All these reactions are misguided. So in response, I’ve endeavored to provide a more balanced assessment that can be placed in a more appropriate perspective.

» Continue reading “Inspire Magazine’s 10th Issue”

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2013 Threat Assessment and Cybersecurity

The Directorate of National Intelligence has just released the 2013 Worldwide Threat Assessment, which places cyber security as a higher threat than terrorism. Interesting . . . [ Click here to download the full report ]

With that in mind, perhaps the 2013 European Cyber Security Conference (May 16, in Brussels) will draw a lot of attention. Details are online at: www.eucybersecurity.com

 

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America’s Far-Right Extremists

An excellent new report on violent far-right extremists, published by the Combating Terrorism Center at West Point, is available here.

This study provides a conceptual foundation for understanding different far-right groups and then presents the empirical analysis of violent incidents to identify those perpetrating attacks and their associated trends. Through a comprehensive look at the data, this study addresses three core questions: (1) What are the main current characteristics of the violence produced by the far right? (2) What type of far-right groups are more prone than others to engage in violence? How are characteristics of particular far-right groups correlated with their tendency to engage in violence? and (3) What are the social and political factors associated with the level of far-right violence? Are there political or social conditions that foster or discourage violence?

URL: http://www.ctc.usma.edu/posts/challengers-from-the-sidelines-understanding-americas-violent-far-right

 

Also of related interest, the report and data on Homegrown Terrorism Cases, 2001-2011 by the New America Foundation and Syracuse University’s Maxwell School. URL: http://homegrown.newamerica.net/

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WMD and Terrorism article in JSS

My article, “A Framework for Analyzing the Future Threat of WMD Terrorism,” has been published in the Winter 2012 issue of the Journal of Strategic Security, and is now available online at: http://scholarcommons.usf.edu/jss/vol5/iss4/9/

 

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Global trends in kidnapping by terrorist groups

The academic journal Global Change, Peace and Security has recently published an article of mine on kidnapping by terrorist groups, using data 1970-2010. You can download a free copy of the article at the following link:  http://www.tandfonline.com/eprint/btfYeiyeHpf37ICu4rS6/full

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New book – Crime and Terror Intersections

My newest book has just been released by Taylor and Francis. Details are available online at:

http://www.taylorandfrancis.com/books/details/9780415639613/

Crime and Terror Intersections

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Political Violence and the Illicit Economies of West Africa

My article on West Africa, co-authored with Vanda Felbab-Brown, has been published by the journal Terrorism and Political Violence. A summary is available for free on the Brookings website [ Click Here ] and the full version of the article is available for free at the following link:  http://www.tandfonline.com/eprint/IPbdZnuckan5GzsKd3j7/full

 

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Social Media and CT

A special issue of Counterterrorism Exchange on “Social Media in Jihad and Counterterrorism” is now available. Click here to download a free copy.

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Terrorist Group Decision-Making

Click here for free access to the recent special issue of Perspectives on Terrorism (2012, Vol. 6, No. 4-5) containing several high quality research articles on terrorist group decision-making. You can also download the entire PDF file (186 pages) at this link.

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New book: The Terrorism Lectures

Information about my new book. The Terrorism Lectures, is now available at the publisher’s website: 
http://www.nortiapress.com/shop/nonfiction/forest-terrorism-lectures/

You can also view the new Facebook page for the book, at http://www.facebook.com/TerrorismLectures

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Crime & Terror Pipelines speech

Here are my remarks and slides from this morning’s speech at the TransAtlantic Dialogue meeting.

JForest-CrimeTerror_Dialogue_June2012

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Boko Haram report

Here is a copy of my 2012 JSOU report on Boko Haram, the terrorist group in northern Nigeria designated on November 13, 2013 as a Foreign Terrorist Organization by the U.S. Department of State.



Summary: This monograph assesses the threat Boko Haram poses to Nigeria and U.S. national security interests. Boko Haram is largely a local phenomenon, though one with strategic implications, and must be understood and addressed within its local context and the longstanding grievances that motivate terrorist activity. The chapters explore Nigeria’s ethnic fissures and the role of unequal distribution of power in fueling terrorism. Indeed, these conditions, combined with the ready availability of weapons, contribute to Nigeria’s other security challenges including militancy in the Niger Delta and organized crime around the economic center of the country, Lagos.

Here’s a link to more publications from Joint Special Operations University Press.

Click here to search for other resources on Boko Haram

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